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2024-12-13 04:58:56

Shenwan Hongyuan Securities interprets the meeting of the Political Bureau in December: highlighting "expanding domestic demand in all directions" and "stabilizing the property market stock market". Shenwan Hongyuan Securities Research Report pointed out that in December, Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party's discussion on next year's economic work was more refined, guiding the direction of future policies, such as "expanding domestic demand in all directions". The meeting rarely emphasized "stabilizing the property market and stock market", highlighting that the current policy pays more attention to the impact of asset-side performance on the real economy. The positive signal of the policy is being released continuously, and more specific deployment focuses on the upcoming Central Economic Work Conference in December. In terms of fiscal and monetary policies, the positive degree of macro-policy adjustment is relatively rare. The meeting proposed "implementing more positive and promising macro-policies" and "strengthening unconventional counter-cyclical adjustment". Under the "more active" fiscal policy, it may be worth looking forward to actively using the central deficit space that can be improved. Under the tone of "moderate easing", monetary policy may pay more attention to internal balance, and the RRR cut can be expected.Zhongtai Futures: Wu Xiuwei has been appointed as the joint company secretary, Zhongtai Futures (01461) announced that Wei Weifeng resigned as the joint company secretary of the company and the company's agent (legal process agent) for receiving legal process documents and notices in China and Hong Kong according to Part 16 of the Companies Ordinance, Chapter 622 of the Laws of Hong Kong, with effect from December 10, 2024. Wu Xiuwei has been appointed as the joint company secretary and legal representative, with effect from December 10, 2024.Caitong Securities: It is expected that the main objectives and tasks of economic and social development will be successfully completed throughout the year. the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9 to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. According to Chen Xing, the macro chief analyst of Caitong Securities, from the current situation, the economic operation has been generally stable this year, and the key areas of risks have also been resolved in an orderly and effective manner. The meeting has confidence in this year's economic performance, and it is expected that the main objectives and tasks of economic and social development will be successfully completed throughout the year. From the perspective of future deployment, first, the positive attitude is unprecedented. The meeting mentioned that the policy will be more active and promising, and on the basis of counter-cyclical adjustment, it emphasized that the intensity should be "extraordinary" to offset "external shocks". We will implement a more proactive fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy. Second, pay more attention to the actual effect of policies, not only to strengthen the forward-looking, targeted and effective regulation at the macro level, but also to promote the effectiveness of landmark reform measures in specific measures. Third, pay more attention to systematicness, emphasize "system integration and coordination", improve the toolbox, lay a good policy "combination boxing" and stabilize expectations.


Dekang Agriculture and Animal Husbandry: In the first November, the sales volume of live pigs was 7,825,500, and the sales income was about 16.773 billion yuan. Dekang Agriculture and Animal Husbandry announced on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on December 9 that the sales volume of live pigs in November was 892,800, and the sales income was about 2.036 billion yuan. From January to November, the sales volume of live pigs was 7.8255 million, and the sales income was about 16.773 billion yuan.Kaitou Macro: The fall of Assad is unlikely to have a major impact on the energy market. Jason Tuvey, an analyst at Kaitou Macro, said that the fall of former Syrian President Assad is not expected to have a major impact on the energy market. The economist said that even at the peak of about 600,000 barrels per day in the early 21st century, Syria's oil production only accounted for a small part of the global oil supply, and since the beginning of the civil war in 2011, Syria's oil production has declined. At present, the country's oil production is less than 100,000 barrels per day, and most of the country's oil infrastructure has been destroyed. In a report to clients, Tuvey said: "Even if the political situation stabilizes, it will take years or even decades to rebuild, and its economy may never return to the pre-war scale. The situation in the energy market is similar. "Kirby, spokesman of US National Security Council: Another aid plan for Ukraine will be launched soon.


Jingji Zhinong: In November, the sales revenue of live pigs was 262 million yuan. Jingji Zhinong announced that in November 2024, the company sold 132,700 live pigs with a sales revenue of 262 million yuan. The average selling price of commercial pigs is 17.33 yuan /kg. From January to November, 2024, the company sold 1.95 million pigs, with a cumulative sales income of 3.527 billion yuan.According to sources, Greece will repay the first batch of rescue loans of 7.9 billion euros in advance on December 13th.The Gansu Provincial Department of Transportation launched a Class IV defense response to low-temperature rain, snow and freezing disasters, and the Lanzhou Central Meteorological Observatory issued a blue warning of blizzard at 10: 34 on December 9: It is expected that there will be heavy snow in Lanzhou, Baiyin, Dingxi, Linxia and other cities and States, as well as northern Gannan, western Tianshui, western Pingliang, western Qingyang, southern Zhangye and southern Wuwei from 15: 00 on the 9 th to 20: 00 on the 10 th; Blizzard will appear in southern Linxia, western Dingxi, southern Lanzhou and central Baiyin. According to the relevant provisions of "Emergency Plan for Highway Traffic Security in Gansu Province" and "Comprehensive Emergency Plan for Transportation in Gansu Province", the Gansu Provincial Department of Transportation decided to start the level IV defense response to the freezing rain, snow and ice disaster of transportation at 20: 00 on December 9.

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